Government and Politics
October 8, 2024
MADISON, Wis. — New reporting from NPR highlights the incredible potential for Democrats to flip districts all over the state under new, fair maps this November. Years of GOP gerrymandering allowed Republicans to gut Wisconsin unions, underfund public education and delay Medicaid expansion, pushing their extreme agenda on Wisconsinites who had their voting power diluted. Fair maps mean a fair vote—and Wisconsinites are tired of being ignored.
In November, Democrats have the chance to break the GOP supermajority in the Senate and flip the Assembly. For Wisconsinites, that means fully funded public education at every level, millions in already–approved funds for PFAS cleanup released, BadgerCare expansion so Wisconsinites have access to quality, affordable healthcare, and restoring bargaining power to unions. In short—November 5th can’t come soon enough.
NPR: In swing-state Wisconsin, new districts threaten the GOP hold on the Legislature
By: Shawn Johnson
[…]
Not everyone has that luxury in Green Bay, where for the first time in years, Lambeau Field and the surrounding community are part of a fierce campaign that could decide control of the Wisconsin Legislature. A couple of parking lots over, local Democrats are tailgating, hoping to unlock the political power they were granted when the state redrew its political maps and turned this once-safe GOP district competitive.
“I actually enjoy talking about politics,” said Ryan Spaude, the Democratic candidate running to represent this area at the state Capitol in Madison. He’s a local prosecutor. “I enjoy having a respectful dialogue with other folks about politics. I also think we can do better than some of the yahoos that are down there in Madison right now.”
Spaude is well aware of the divided nature of his district. President Joe Biden would have won this district in 2020—former President Donald Trump would have carried it in 2016. He jokes that this district is as purple as some of the Minnesota Vikings jerseys in the crowd that day.
“Ninety-nine seats in the state Assembly,” Spaude said. “There’s about a dozen that are like mine that could go either way. These seats will determine who gets the majority.”
Wisconsin could swing up and down the ballot
When it comes to races for statewide office, Wisconsin has a well-earned reputation as a swing state. Four of the last six presidential contests have been decided by less than a percentage point.
But in races for the Legislature, it’s been anything but competitive ever since 2011, when Republicans took control of state government and redrew the state’s legislative district lines, cementing their power for years to come.
“There would be a couple competitive seats in the state Assembly every year, but the outcome of them was basically inconsequential,” said John Johnson, a redistricting expert at Marquette University Law School. “There was no chance that majority control of the chamber would change.”
The GOP used its majorities to shift Wisconsin’s politics to the right. When Republican Scott Walker was in the governor’s office, they famously passed laws that weakened unions in a state with deep ties to organized labor.
Even after Democratic Gov. Tony Evers took office, their legislative majorities effectively gave Republicans veto power. As neighboring states expanded Medicaid or legalized marijuana, the GOP was able to block Evers’ plans that would have had Wisconsin join them.
This election, in this 50-50 district, the debate is different. Spaude said the number one issue he hears from voters is about the cost -of -living.
“The second issue is—why can’t you people work together? Just the gridlock you see,” Spaude said.
[…]
New voting maps loosen GOP grip
The idea that Wisconsin could be in this position seemed, just a few years ago, almost impossible. Even with Evers in the governor’s office, the Legislature redrew Wisconsin’s maps to make them even more powerful with the help of a then-conservative majority on Wisconsin’s Supreme Court.
But everything changed in 2023 when voters flipped control of the court from conservative to liberal, and the new majority ordered new maps drawn
In an unexpected twist, the Republican-controlled Legislature chose maps that were drawn by Evers, making the political calculation that it was their least-worst option. In a brief speech before their vote, Republican Assembly Speaker Robin Vos said the new maps would be “very competitive,” and the Legislature would be “up for grabs.”
[…]
This will be the first test of how that debate plays out in Wisconsin. As with many political issues, the answer could be complicated.
[…]
Back at the tailgating event, Democratic voter Denise Gaumer Hutchison concedes that Democrats may or may not win it all this year, but for the first time in years, she said they’ll at least be able to force Republicans to have a dialog. That was never possible, she said, under the state’s old maps.
“Those maps were not fair to the point that legislators wouldn’t even try,” Gaumer Hutchison said. “They wouldn’t even do doors. They wouldn’t even come talk to people who might be of a different opinion because they didn’t have to. Now they have to.”
It’s not just Lambeau Field’s Assembly seat that’s up for grabs this year. The district next door is so close it would have been won by both Evers, a Democrat, and Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson two years ago. The surrounding Senate district could also flip and give Democrats a chance at winning that chamber in 2026.
Regardless of the outcome, there’s already been a political sea change in Wisconsin, a state where the race for president is seemingly always up for grabs, and now the state Legislature is, too.